11 Comments

“When an asset-play lacks a catalyst or growth, capital allocation becomes crucial!

Being cheap is not enough. This is where you’ll get a value trap.” - I agree and also made that learning last year.

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Excellent observations. Nice post.

"So, where await the next extremely pessimistic sentiments, fellas??"

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RDrfE9I8_hs

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Thanks!

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Nice thinking.

I am one of the few last standings, I still like value traps, I think that value is it's own catalyst. However, I want a 5-6% dividend+buyback for these type of companies.

I cannot go however on the NAV value companies type if they don't provide a minimum capital return

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Thanks. I guess that a 5-6% yield can be a catalyst by itself. Depending on the discount, of course.

Also, I believe the more diversified you are, the more your valuation work matters, as opposed to catalysts. You can handle something "being cheap" for a longer time if it's a part of a larger portfolio of dirt cheap names, whereas I cannot "afford" a 30% position that doesn't re-rate over a 3 year time frame.

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Great to think about the hurdle rate. Will help you avoid dead-money value traps. Best of luck in 2024!

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Thanks! Likewise, Michael

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Very good insights. Well done!

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Appreciate it!

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I like how you are understandable and honest. Thank you.

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Thanks Filip!

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